Ohio · District 7
Miller wins 63 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates OH-7 lean Republican. The middle simulated result is R+1.8, and 8 in 10 fall between R+8.9 and D+5.3.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
37
63
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Brian Poindexter (D) vs. Max Miller (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+10EvenD+10
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Poindexter 37 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Poindexter 35 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Toss-up
- Incumbent
- Max Miller (R)
Full simulation: voter personas react to each day's news in this race.
Over time
Poindexter's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Ohio
- Ohio 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
42
58
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
16
84
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 15
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
87
13
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 14
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 13
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026