New Jersey · District 2
Drew wins 95 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NJ-2 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+10.9, and 8 in 10 fall between R+19.0 and R+2.9.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Zack Mullock (D) vs. Jeff Van Drew (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Mullock 5 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Mullock 4 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Jeff Van Drew (R)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Mullock's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in New Jersey
- New Jersey 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
64
36
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
93
7
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026