New Jersey · District 9
Pou wins 93 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NJ-9 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+9.3, and 8 in 10 fall between D+1.3 and D+17.2.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
93
7
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Nellie Pou (D) vs. Rosie Pino (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Pou 93 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Pou 91 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely D
- Incumbent
- Nellie Pou (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Pou's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in New Jersey
- New Jersey 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
64
36
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026