Michigan · District 3
Scholten wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates MI-3 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+18.1, and 8 in 10 fall between D+6.3 and D+29.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Hillary Scholten (D) vs. Terri DeBoer (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+30EvenD+30
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Scholten 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Scholten 97 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Hillary Scholten (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Scholten's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Michigan
- Michigan 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
47
53
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
55
45
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
29
71
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
91
9
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
98
2
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026