November 3, 2026Updated daily

Indiana · District 2

Yakym wins 99 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates IN-2 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+24.7, and 8 in 10 fall between R+36.4 and R+12.8.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

1

99

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Jamee Decio (D) vs. Rudy Yakym (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+40EvenD+40

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Decio 1 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Decio 0 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Rudy Yakym (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Decio's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct1

Other seats in Indiana

  • Indiana 5

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    10

    90

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    95

    5

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 4

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    1

    99

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 9

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    0

    100

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 3

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    0

    100

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 6

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    0

    100

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026