Virginia · District 9
Griffith wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates VA-9 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+41.7, and 8 in 10 fall between R+53.5 and R+29.9.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Joy Powers (D) vs. Morgan Griffith (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+55EvenD+55
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Powers 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Powers 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Morgan Griffith (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Powers's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Virginia
- Virginia 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
54
46
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
41
59
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026