Nebraska · District 2
Powell wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NE-2 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+11.0, and 8 in 10 fall between D+4.0 and D+18.0.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Denise Powell (D) vs. Brinker Harding (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Powell 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Powell 96 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely D
- Incumbent
- Don Bacon (R), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Powell's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Nebraska
- Nebraska 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Nebraska 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026