Idaho · District 2
Simpson wins 99 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates ID-2 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+25.3, and 8 in 10 fall between R+37.1 and R+13.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
1
99
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Elinor Gilbreath (D) vs. Mike Simpson (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+40EvenD+40
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Gilbreath 1 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Gilbreath 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Mike Simpson (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Gilbreath's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Idaho
- Idaho 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026