Minnesota · District 3
Morrison wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates MN-3 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+31.5, and 8 in 10 fall between D+19.7 and D+43.3.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Kelly Morrison (D) vs. Tyler Bass (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+45EvenD+45
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Morrison 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Morrison 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Kelly Morrison (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Morrison's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Minnesota
- Minnesota 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
9
91
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026