Ohio · District 14
Joyce wins 96 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates OH-14 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+17.2, and 8 in 10 fall between R+28.9 and R+5.4.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Maria Jukic (D) vs. David Joyce (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+30EvenD+30
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Jukic 4 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Jukic 3 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Dave Joyce (R)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Jukic's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Ohio
- Ohio 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
42
58
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
37
63
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
16
84
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 15
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
87
13
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 13
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026